Showing posts with label putin. Show all posts
Showing posts with label putin. Show all posts

Thursday, February 27, 2025

The Orchestrated Circus Act: A Classical Autocrat's Distractionary Tactic, to Divide and Conquer

 A recent news story about a mysterious Neo-Nazi Rally, which popped up, just as schools were letting out, outside Lincoln Heights, OH. The small town, which bills itself as the oldest self-governing Black Community north of the Mason-Dixon Line, was targeted with racist pamphlets and swastikas hung from highway overpasses. This dispicable stunt (whether genuine or engineered to incite political agitation), has justifiably led to an armed neighborhood watch in Lincoln Heights.

I don't have any particular background on this incident, beyond reading a few headlines. But it does bring to mind the sort of engineered circuisry that accompanied Putin's rise to power. During the late 1990's, Putin quite masterfully arranged acts of political violence, paying saboteurs on both sides. The result was a distrustful, agitated society, which had lost sight of the truth, and was prepared to back a strongman leader, against a fabricated enemy. See the link below for a Radio Free Europe article about deadly apartment bombings, allegedly orchestrated by Putin and the FSB.

Two Decades On, Smoldering Questions About The Russian President's Vault To Power

 

Saturday, February 15, 2025

"I Have Brought You Peace for Our Time"

Neville Chamberlain holds the Munich Agreement, a fateful 1938 decision to appease Hitler, who went on to seize most of Europe and murder millions of civilians.

 “It’s certainly an innovative approach to a negotiation to make very major concessions even before they have started,” stated former Swedish Prime Minister Carl Bildt, who co-chairs the European Council on Foreign Relations. "Not even Chamberlain went that low in 1938."

Thursday, February 13, 2025

Ukraine War Developments: Gabbard, Russian Stocks, sanctions on oligarchs, "greatest betrayal of a European ally since Poland in 1945"

Today, the U.S. Senate confirmed Tulsi Gabbard as Director of National Intelligence.

She was voted in 52-48. As DNI, she will oversee 18 intelligence agencies with a budget of approximately $100 billion, and serve as Donald Trump’s top intelligence advisor.

Gabbard has consistently opposed U.S. support for Ukraine and has repeated Russian propaganda narratives, including claims about alleged biolabs in Ukraine. She has criticized President Joe Biden’s policies, accusing Democrats of prolonging the conflict and opposing U.S. arms shipments to Ukraine.

In 2022, Ukraine’s Center for Countering Disinformation stated that Gabbard was working for foreign audiences with Russian funding.

However, during her confirmation hearing on January 30, she called Russia a “strategic competitor” and stated that “Putin started the war against Ukraine.”



Sir Ed Davey, Liberal Democrat leader, speaks in UK Parliament:





Russian stocks soared today, after today's developments


 A meeting was being prepared for Friday, 14 Feb 2025, in Munich, where Vice President J.D. Vance and Secretary of State Marco Rubio will lead the delegation.




In further news, the Ukrainian National Security and Defense Council imposed sanctions on Ukrainian oligarchs at a meeting on February 12. Those sanctioned included Poroshenko, Kolomoisky, Bogolyubov, Zhevago and Medvedchuk. All of them are accused of carrying out activities in the interests of the Russian Federation. Criminal cases have been opened for each episode, which are being investigated by law enforcement officers.

Sanctions against Poroshenko were reportedly imposed due to:

• a criminal case of high treason, when Poroshenko, in collusion with Medvedchuk and the Russian leadership, allowed Centrenergo to buy coal from the LDN. This deprived Ukraine of any chance of energy independence from the Russian Federation for a long time.

• Poroshenko's participation in the creation of the Party of Regions and his work in Yanukovych's government, when, as Minister of Foreign Affairs, he participated in the preparation of the Kharkiv Agreements.

• Cooperation with the Russian Federation: Owning assets in the Russian Federation – the Roshen factory in Lipetsk and Sevmorzavod in Crimea – Poroshenko was interested in continuing cooperation with the Russian Federation and stationing the Black Sea Fleet on the peninsula.



Sanctions against Kolomoisky and Bogolyubov were reportedly imposed because of:

• that in 2023 they were the founders and beneficiaries of the company Eclaris Group Limited. Through shell companies, it sold oil and gas to Gazprom subsidiaries, which paid taxes to the Russian budget, financing the war.

• withdrawal of UAH 750 million from Privatbank.



The grounds for imposing sanctions against Zhevago reportedly were:

• his close ties with the Russian Federation, in particular, with the sanctioned Russian oligarch Alexei Fedorychev.

• crimes in the banking sector related to the withdrawal of UAH 500 million in credit funds from the Finance and Credit Bank.

• The Ferrexpo group of companies controlled by Zhevago cooperated with the Russian Federation until recently. For example, AvtoKraz exported trucks to Russia, and Rosava and Premiori exported tires, which were supplied to the so-called "LDNR" as early as 2022.



Sanctions against Medvedchuk have been imposed indefinitely - reportedly based on several old episodes, as well as new ones:

• collecting information about the Armed Forces of Ukraine for the benefit of the Russian Federation,

• blocking the launch of advanced cellular radio technologies in Ukraine

• his activities in the OPZH,

• anti-Ukrainian activities of its media resources,

• involving him in anti-Ukrainian propaganda in the Russian Federation. In 2024, the SBU terminated the activities of the media structure “Voice of Europe”, which was part of the pro-Russian project “Second Ukraine”. It was headed and financed by Medvedchuk, and coordinated by the 5th Service of the Russian FSB.







Tuesday, October 29, 2024

Prelude to Medic Work in Ukraine, part 2


Rule #3:  "Do Not Kill or Torture Prisoners"

- From the United States Marine Corps Common Skills Handbook, Core Principles of the Law of War



Late January 2022 


Things are mostly packed and ready for the yearly journey to Africa. More and more frequently, my daily work occurs with "Comprehensible Russian" podcasts and Ukrainian news playing in the background. 

Included in these is Bellingcat's investigative series on Flight MH17. This Malaysian Airlines flight was shot down by a Buk surface-to-air missile in 2014, as it passed over a then-freshly-ignited conflict area in East Ukraine. 298 civilian passengers died in the crash. An international Joint Investigation Team found that the missile originated from the Russian Kursk-based 53rd Anti-Aircraft Brigade, and it was fired from Ukrainian territory held by Russian-backed rebels. Three Russians and one Ukrainian national have since been given life sentences by Dutch courts, and Holland is in the process of taking Russia to the European Court of Human Rights for its role in the downing of MH17. 

My old favorite Russian songs of my teens have been resurrected as workout tunes. Later, when the war starts, I'll come to be surprised at how many of my favorite bands make risky anti-war statements. And what about the Russian friends I danced with? Will they protest the war? This will remain a persistant mystery. Even back in 2021, my letters to Russian acquaintances had begun to go unanswered. I'm probably just writing to the FSB now.

A favorite of mine, "Prosvistela" ("Whistled by") comes on. I realize I've never paid enough attention to the lyrics to understand them. I listen now, and pick out a confusion of something falling on the table, a hug, heaven, being prisoners of the motherland. It doesn't really make sense, so I finally google the meaning. It turns out my favorite song was written by Yuri Shevchuk, after a visit to soldiers fighting in Chechnya. Scarred by the horrors he saw, Shevchuk penned an unsubtle composition about a grenade falling into an armored personnel carrier. Everyone inside is killed, but in heaven they reunite with friends, find freedom and happiness, and reflect on the meaninglessness of the war. I'm shocked that this song, which blended seamlessly with the teeny pop discoteca sounds of my youth, had such a deep and dark meaning. You can listen to it here, and a translation of the full lyrics is below: Prosvistela/ "Whistled By", DDT https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=inG69xYWROw

The music draws me back into memories of Russia. I'm 16 again, and it's my first week in southern Russia. My host family doesn't speak a word of English, which is tremendously exciting for me. I've chosen to learn Russian, because I believe one day Russia will cause trouble, and I'll want to know Russian very well. Complete immersion is the best way to learn. I'm constantly thumbing through the heavy Russian-English dictionary I carry everywhere in my backback (no Google Translate or Kindle app in 1998!). Communicating anything- "I'm hungry", "Good morning", "Where is the bathroom?" requires a consult with the book. Unfortunately I had an orange juice explode in my bag on the plane, and the dictionary remains decorated with tiny black mold stains for the year-long duration of my visit. Every morning I select 50 new words and write them down three times, which lets me commit them permanently to memory.

During my first few days in-country, southern Russia sees an oppressive August heat wave. My host family retreats to the beach, and I promptly become very ill with food poisoning. My host mother sees me through with a treatment of two shots of heavily salted vodka, followed by bed rest.

By the time my second week in Russia rolls around, it is time to return to school. I'll be accompanying my host sister to the equivalent of a K-12 public school. At 14, she is two years younger, and immensely more worldly than I. "Irina" (name changed for her safety) has it all planned out: on her 15th birthday, she'll try Ecstasy; on the 16th, she'll lose her virginity. At the end of her 16th year, she'll enroll in college, preparatory to Law School. I'm placed in Irina's grade, and she helps me understand the lessons, which are of course all in Russian.

The heat wave, if anything, has grown more intense on our first day back at school. The class swelters, as the teacher conducts what I come to realize is a surprisingly in-depth review of World War II history. My host sister knows far more than the average American college student about 20th century European wars. I half-follow vaguely familiar battle names and dates, thumbing through my trusty, moldy dictionary.

Before math class, I join my host sister and her friends outside, politely declining their proffered cigarettes. Sweating and swatting at flies, we seek refuge under the shade of a tree, but don't stay too long. They must not have taken out the trash since spring; the air stinks of rotting meat.

We return to class, math this time. Suddenly, a woman comes in and draws the teacher from the room. A growing wave of whispering begins: "Samo-ubitso!" I feverishly flip the pages of my moldy dictionary, seeking this new term which has caused such a stir.

It means "suicide".

In the next two hours, I will be introduced to the real Russia, and the reality that, in most of the world, the strong devour the weak. In the next week, at 16 years old, I'll build two key emotional foundations. One is for dealing with Americans who turn a willful blind eye to the evils of the world (as with many future ugly international realities, my American compatriots cope with the alien violence and ugliness of this first day of Russian school, by simply refusing to believe in it). The second foundation is for recognizing and navigating the special mix of 'anything-is-possible and nothing-is-real', which underpins every tug of the marionnette strings, by which the Russian government controls the Russian population.

Our math teacher comes back inside, and acknowledges that there's no chance of us paying attention to the lesson. He releases us, and we join the entire student body outdoors. Kids from age five up through sixteen form a ring around the shade tree, where we had smoked earlier. The body hanging in the tree was discovered shortly after we left. The next group of smoking girls looked up, after it dripped on one of them. It had probably been hanging, twenty feet up in the large oak, for the entirety of the hot weekend.

I saw my first body at age 14, when I discovered my mother had passed away from a mixture of cancer-induced hypercalcemia and pain medications. That was a peaceful and expected relief from pain, and I closed her eyes with more relief for her than grief.

This second body was much messier. The breeze spun him on the rope around his neck. At each of his slow rotations, his face was visible above us. It was plum-purple and bloated, and an impossibly swollen tongue stuck obscenely from his mouth. The military showed up with a pickup, and made a great show of obtaining his passport and reading his name out loud, then showing the passport around to the group of students. One of the soldiers then told the circle of assembled students to back up. He jabbed me in the abdomen with his AK when I was slow to respond. My host sister came to my rescue, saying I was "an Amerikanka, I didn't understand". I really wished she hadn't done more to make me stand out; even at sixteen I instinctively understood that what what happening here was outside the bounds of Rule of Law. Anything could happen. Overtly being an American here wasn't the best idea.

The soldier who had climbed the tree to get the dead man's passport proceeded to tie a rope around the waist of the corpse. The crowd of students parted to allow a pickup truck to drive in. One arm covering his nose, the soldier in the tree reached out and sawed though the rope around the corpse's neck. The circle of students, small and large, stood immobile, barely glancing at the soldiers' AKs. They gazed upward, rapt, wordless. Neck-rope severed, the dead man described a slow-motion arc backwards. His torso came to an abrupt stop at its perigee, impossibly purple face now upside down, and oriented our way. An unexpected amount of what looked like black, clotted blood gushed out of his mouth and into the pickup bed below. I felt fortunate that my parents had enrolled me in many dissection and veterinary classes in grade school. Today's scene was no way to introduce oneself to the ugly side of mammalian biology.

The soldier in the tree undid a hitch, and slowly lowered the body, now essentially hanging upside-down, into the truck. With no further formalities, the soldiers left the scene and classes resumed. Being sixteen, abroad, and not having experienced the aftermath of a grisly suicide at school before, I accepted this as the normal process here. I told my dad about it next time we talked, and otherwise went on with life, and my observations of this very-different-from-American culture. It felt odd to compare the complete lack of response from the Russian school system, to what would have happened at home in America. A scene like that on the grounds of a US school? The school would have been closed for a week, and mandatory counseling given to all students! But, this was Russia. Counseling? Compared to watching the body of one's mother slowly destroyed by cancer, this really wasn't a big deal. As long as you're lucky, healthy formative-years coping mechanisms get built, and life goes on.

Only in retrospect, listening to Bellingcat and Prosvistela, did I begin to appreciate some of the political undercurrents of that day. Even in Russia, where life can be cheap, the man in the tree, so long ago, was probably not just a suicide. The army had taken far too much care- to make sure all the students watched, and to make the name on his passport known. The man in the tree must have been someone... a political dissident, a rebel, an enemy of the mafia. He must have been someone worth making an example of. My dad, of course, believed every word of the story. The convenient denial of the other Americans- the other Exchange Program students and managers- was the first of many, many times that I would cope with this failing of my own culture. Outgoing President Obama would sum it up well in a 2015 speech: "If the American public cannot, or will not, differentiate fact from fiction, than we are in deep trouble".

Well, I'm just one member of that public. But, at sixteen, I surely appreciated my first lesson on what the breakdown of rule of law does to a society. My eyes and mind were wide open. I had expected that Russia would be challenging, romantic, sweet, and world-changing for me. It was all that. It was also ugly, corrupt, and violent.

So, twenty years later, when it came- Russia's wholesale violation of the Law of War in Ukraine, violation of "Do not kill or torture prisoners"? It was absolutely no surprise. Not after what I saw during my year in Russia.

Learning the nature and structure of Russia's ugly parts, and how to recognize their equivalents in other societies (including my own) was the greatest lesson of my time in the Russian exchange program.